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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 29th, 2024–Jan 30th, 2024

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.

Regions

Yukon, Tutshi, Wheaton, White Pass East, White Pass West.

Give the recent snow time to settle and stabilize.

Conditions may change drastically with elevation. Precipitation continues while temperatures drop back to more seasonal values.

Confidence

Low

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were reported before 4 pm on Monday.

Saturday: A naturally triggered avalanche cycle consisting of both slab and loose wet avalanches to size 2.5 was observed along the highway corridor between White Pass and Skagway. These avalanches all occurred on northerly aspects.

We suspect a widespread natural avalanche cycle is ongoing across the region.

Snowpack Summary

Storm snow totals around 35-50 cm by the end of the day Tuesday. With only road elevation weather stations and a lack of liquid precipitation measurements available, this is a loose estimate.

Freezing levels were up to 1700 m over the weekend and should drop rapidly on Tuesday, resulting in a frozen crust or wet snow at the surface, or under fresh, dry snow.

Strong southerly alpine winds have likely formed touchy slabs at upper elevations on lee northerly and easterly slopes.

A buried weak layer of surface hoar and facets has been found in isolated locations 45-70 cm below the surface. There is potential for the recent precipitation and warm temperatures to overload this layer triggering large avalanches.

Weather Summary

Monday Night

Cloudy. 10-15 cm of snow expected above 1000 m. Extreme southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature around 2 °C.

Tuesday

Cloudy. 5-10 cm of snow expected. Strong southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature dropping rapidly from 0°C to -10°C.

Wednesday

Partly cloudy. No new snow expected. Moderate to strong northeast alpine wind. Treeline temperature around -15°C.

Thursday

Mostly cloudy. 0-2 cm of snow expected. Light variable wind. Treeline temperature around -17 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid all avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind, or rain.
  • Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
  • Make observations and assess conditions continually as you travel.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.