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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 16th, 2026–Mar 17th, 2026

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Vancouver Island, East Island, North Island, South Island, West Island.

Avoid exposure to avalanche terrain as rain continues to soak the snowpack.

Confidence

High

  • We are confident the likelihood of avalanches will increase with the forecast weather.

Avalanche Summary

No recent avalanche activity has been reported but we expect a widespread cycle of natural activity from the heavy rain and wind to occur.

Snowpack Summary

Rain continues to saturate up to 60 cm of recent snow that sits over a thick, widespread crust.

Below, the remainder of the snowpack is generally settled and well-bonded.

Weather Summary

Monday Night
Cloudy. 10 to 35 mm of rain. 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 4 °C. Freezing level 2700 m.

Tuesday
Cloudy. 10 to 30 mm of rain. 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 5 °C. Freezing level 2400 m.

Wednesday
Mostly cloudy. 10 to 35 mm of rain. 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 4 °C. Freezing level 2200 m.

Thursday
Mostly cloudy. 15 to 45 mm of rain. 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 4 °C. Freezing level 2300 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid avalanche terrain during periods of heavy rain.
  • Keep in mind that the high density of wet avalanches can make them destructive.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.