Avalanche forecast

Vancouver Island

Mar 16 – 17, 2026Avalanche Canada
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Avalanche danger

Wed
Thu
Alpine
4 · High
Treeline
4 · High
Below
2 · Moderate

Highlights

Avoid exposure to avalanche terrain as rain continues to soak the snowpack.

Avalanche problems

  • Loose Wet

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Very Likely
    Size
    1–2

    Loose wet avalanches will become increasingly likely as rain soaks snow above a crust.

Confidence

High

  • We are confident the likelihood of avalanches will increase with the forecast weather.

Avalanche Summary

No recent avalanche activity has been reported but we expect a widespread cycle of natural activity from the heavy rain and wind to occur.

Snowpack Summary

Rain continues to saturate up to 60 cm of recent snow that sits over a thick, widespread crust.

Below, the remainder of the snowpack is generally settled and well-bonded.

Weather Summary

Monday Night
Cloudy. 10 to 35 mm of rain. 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 4 °C. Freezing level 2700 m.

Tuesday
Cloudy. 10 to 30 mm of rain. 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 5 °C. Freezing level 2400 m.

Wednesday
Mostly cloudy. 10 to 35 mm of rain. 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 4 °C. Freezing level 2200 m.

Thursday
Mostly cloudy. 15 to 45 mm of rain. 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 4 °C. Freezing level 2300 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid avalanche terrain during periods of heavy rain.
  • Keep in mind that the high density of wet avalanches can make them destructive.

Regions covered