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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 18th, 2024–Dec 19th, 2024

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Coast, Powell River, North Shore, Sasquatch, Sasquatch, Sky Pilot, Tetrahedron.

Continuously assess conditions as you gain elevation.

Rider triggerable storm slabs could be found at higher elevations where forecasted precipitation is likely to fall as snow.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

A natural avalanche cycle took place overnight on December 17th. In the alpine storm slab avalanches up to size 2 were observed and at lower elevations wet loose avalanches up to size 1.5 were observed.

If you are going out in the backcountry, please consider sharing your observations to the Mountain Information Network (MIN)

Snowpack Summary

By early morning on the 18th up to 70 mm of precipitation fell in less than 24 hours. The majority of this precipitation fell as rain, saturating the upper snowpack. In the alpine some of this precipitation fell as snow and was accompanied by strong southerly winds forming deep deposits on northerly aspects and scouring windward slopes.

A prominent crust is down 60 to 100 cm on sheltered features at treeline. This crust may be on the surface in exposed terrain.

Check out this great MIN from the Sky Pilot area.

Snow depths taper substantially below 1000 m.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night

Mix of clear skies and cloud. 15 to 40 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Freezing level rising to 1800 m.

Thursday

Cloudy with 10 to 30 mm of rain expected. 40 to 60 km/h south ridgetop wind. Freezing level rising to 2300 m.

Friday

Mostly cloudy with up to 35 mm of rain by early morning. 30 to 50 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Freezing level rising to 2800 m.

Saturday

Mostly cloudy with up to 20 mm of rain. 30 to 60 km/h south ridgetop wind. Freezing level around 2800 m in the morning and falling to 1800 m during the day.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Don't let storm day fever lure you into consequential terrain.
  • Avoid lee and cross-loaded slopes in the alpine.
  • Be alert to conditions that change with aspect and elevation.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.