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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 13th, 2021–Dec 14th, 2021

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

North Columbia.

 Continually assess for changing snowpack conditions. Variable wind direction and the presence of a persistent weak layer make for challenging decision making.  

Confidence

Moderate -

Weather Forecast

Monday night: light to moderrate Southeast winds with some flurries bringing up to 10cm of new snow. Temperature at 1500m will be -8.

Tuesday: 10 to 20cm of new snow with the higher accumulations in the South part of the forecast region. Winds in the alpine will be light to moderate from the Southwest. A high of -7 is expected at 1500m.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy. Light southerly wind. High of -7 at 1500m..

Thursday: High of -8 at 1500m. Up to 10cm of new snow with winds becoming strong from the Nrthwest.

Avalanche Summary

Several natural and skier triggered wind slabs on North and East aspects were reported up to size 2 on Sunday. These avalanches were all in terrain above 1900m.

A noteworthy event from the east slopes of the Selkirks, a size 3 (very large) avalanche was triggered by a skier on a cross-loaded south aspect, resulting in a 300 m ride and partial burial. This avalanche is suspected to have run on the crust described in the snowpack summary.

Snowpack Summary

15-30 cm of recent snow has been redistributed by moderate to strong wind from the Southwest.  

The defining feature of the snowpack is a widespread prominent crust that reaches as high as 2200 m in the alpine now sits 50-80 cm below the surface. In many places, overlying snow is well-bonded to the crust but in others, weak faceted grains have been observed growing above it around treeline. Snowpack models show the faceting process progressing quickly at this elevation, likely due to the amount of heat and moisture trapped by the crust. We will be closely monitoring this layer going forward. The snowpack structure is relatively simple beneath the crust. with treeline snowpack depths 150-200 cm.

Terrain and Travel

  • Be careful with wind slabs, especially in steep, unsupported and/or convex terrain features.
  • Approach lee and cross-loaded slopes with caution.
  • Watch for signs of instability like whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks or recent avalanches.
  • Avoid open slopes and convex rolls at and below treeline where weak layers may be preserved.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.