Avalanche forecast

Glacier

Apr 23 – 24, 2022
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Archived · expired 4 years ago

Avalanche danger

Mon
Tue
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
3 · Considerable
Below
2 · Moderate

Highlights

Things can change quickly with the late April sun.

It's a good time to take advantage of fast travel in the early morning, and manage your exposure to solar slopes with your exit plan.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible - Likely
    Size
    1–3

    Previous SW winds loaded up lee features. These slabs are up to 30 cm deep and sit on top of a crust on all but northerly alpine aspects. These windslabs will gain reactivity as temperatures rise.

  • Cornices

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely - Possible
    Size
    1.5–3

    Cornices are LARGE and may be sensitive to temperature fluctuations, solar radiation, wind loading or just your mere presence nearby. Take necessary precautions if approaching them to access your line and limit your exposure below them.

  • Loose Wet

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–2

    Sun and warm temperatures will increase the hazard throughout the day.

    Moist/wet surface snow, snowballing and water running on rocks are all signs of instability.

Weather Forecast

Sunny periods and elevated freezing levels (FZL) are forecast through Sunday. Unsettled weather returns Monday evening

Tonight: Mainly cloudy. No precip. Low -2*C, FZL to valley bottom. Light SW wind

Sunday: Mostly sunny, high 1*C, FZL 2200m, light S wind

Mon: Flurries, 8cm. Low -4*C, high 1*C, FZL 2200m, strong SW wind

Snowpack Summary

Variable windslabs exist in the alpine. A breakable surface crust can be found up to 2400m.

The April 18th crust, down 5-30 cm, is widespread up to 2200m & on alpine solar aspects.

Below treeline, the snowpack has gone through several melt-freeze cycles & is capped by a crust that breaks down with daytime warming.

Avalanche Summary

On Friday and today there has been a small cycle of solar triggered loose snow avalanches on slopes where the sun popped out. One notable natural size 3 slab avalanche occurred from a West aspect at treeline on Avalanche Crest (suspected to be windslab on the April 18th crust).

Confidence

Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain

Regions covered