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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 8th, 2022–Mar 9th, 2022

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Coast Inland.

Assess for instability before committing to consequential terrain.

Confidence

High - Confidence is due to a stable weather pattern; little change is expected for several days.

Weather Forecast

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear skies with no precipitation, 20 to 40 km/h north wind, alpine temperature -14 C.

WEDNESDAY: Clear skies with no precipitation, 20 km/h northeast wind, alpine temperature -12 C.

THURSDAY: Mix of sun and cloud with no precipitation, 30 km/h southwest wind, alpine temperature -9 C.

FRIDAY: Cloudy with snowfall, accumulation 2 to 5 cm, 40 to 60 km/h southwest wind, alpine temperature -5 C.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were observed on Monday. Looking forward, naturally-triggered avalanche activity is likely decreasing during this cold weather but riders could trigger persistent slab avalanches, where they exist.

Snowpack Summary

5 to 10 cm of recent snow sits on a surface melt-freeze crust on all aspects below around 1600 m and on sun-exposed slopes into the alpine. Settled dry snow remains on shaded slopes above around 1600 m. Reports suggest that recent northerly wind did not form new wind slabs, though extra caution is advised in steep terrain where isolated pockets may have formed.

Around 30 to 60 cm deep, sugary faceted grains may be found around a melt-freeze crust from February in the north of the region (e.g., Duffey, Hurley). The layer may be most prevalent on northeast to northwest aspects at treeline and alpine elevations. We've received limited avalanche observations on this layer, but it should be treated as suspect anywhere it exists. Check out this forecaster blog for more info. Various crusts may be found in the south of the region but reports suggest they are bonding to the snowpack and are not an avalanche concern.

There are no deeper concerns at this time.

Terrain and Travel

  • Use extra caution around cornices: they are large, fragile, and can trigger slabs on slopes below.
  • Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to the presence of buried persistent weak layers.
  • Look for signs of instability: whumphing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks, and recent avalanches.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.