Avalanche forecast

Jasper

Feb 15 – 16, 2022
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Archived · expired 5 years ago

Avalanche danger

Wed
Thu
Alpine
1 · Low
Treeline
1 · Low
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

The hazard may trend toward a higher rating with daytime warming and sustained solar effect. BTL and sunny TL features will be most susceptible to a rapid change.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely - Possible
    Size
    1–2

    Wind slabs formed last week are very stiff with stubborn sensitivity to trigger.Watch for drum like sounds in shallow areas, where wind slabs may be sitting over a shallow layer of facets.

  • Loose Wet

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely - Possible
    Size
    1–1.5

    Likelihood of triggering wet loose avalanches is decreasing with cooling temperatures and increasing cloud cover.

Weather Forecast

Tuesday: Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries. Trace. Temps: High -8 C. Wind W: 10-30 km/h.

Wed: A mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries. Trace. Temps: Low -13 C, High -9 C. Wind: Mostly light, gusting to 35 km/h. 

Thursday: Cloudy with scattered flurries. 5 cm. Temps: Low -13 C, High -7 C. Wind W: 20 km/h gusting to 45 km/h.

Snowpack Summary

Weak temperature crust on all aspects up to 1900m with a sun crust on solar aspects up to 2800m. Upper snowpack has settled but expect natural activity to increase during peak warming of the day. Exposed alpine stripped to rock at ridge top & open features. Dec Facets down 20-70cm. Basal faceting & depth hoar widespread throughout area.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanche activity observed or reported from road patrol or field team in Fryatt Valley.

Confidence

Regions covered