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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 13th, 2026–Jan 14th, 2026

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Cariboos, South Columbia, Blue River, Clearwater, Esplanade, Jordan, North Monashee, North Selkirk, Dogtooth, West Purcell, Badshot-Battle, Central Selkirk, Goat, Gold, Retallack.

Dangerous avalanche conditions are expected to persist with continued warm, sunny weather.
Travel only in non-avalanche or simple terrain, and avoid all overhead hazards.

Confidence

High

  • We are confident the likelihood of avalanche will increase with the arrival of the forecast weather.

Avalanche Summary

On Monday, widespread natural avalanche activity up to (size 2) was reported. Numerous human-triggered (size 1-1.5) were also seen and failing in the recent storm snow. Wet loose avalanches were reported below 1700 m.

Natural avalanche activity is expected to continue with warm temperatures on Wednesday.

Snowpack Summary

Rain and rising freezing levels have created wet snow surfaces up to 2100 m and higher. In the alpine, up to 90 cm of recent snow has been transported by strong south winds. In areas protected from the wind, a surface hoar layer buried in early January may be found down 100+ cm.

The prominent mid-December crust is now buried around 1.5 m deep, and is present up to 2300 m. Triggering this layer is considered unlikely, except with large loads like a cornice failure or in thin snowpack areas.

Weather Summary

Tuesday Night
Mostly cloudy. 20 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 2 °C. Freezing level 3100 m.

Wednesday
Mix of sun and clouds. 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 3 °C. Freezing level 2900 m.

Thursday
Mix of sun and clouds. 40 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C. Freezing level 800 m. Possible alpine temperature inversion.

Friday
Sunny. 30 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level 800 m. Strong alpine temperature inversion.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Only the most simple non-avalanche terrain with no overhead hazard is appropriate at this time.
  • Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to buried surface hoar.
  • Keep in mind that the high density of wet avalanches can make them destructive.
  • In times of uncertainty, conservative terrain choices are our best defense.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.