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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 20th, 2023–Feb 21st, 2023

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Coast Inland, Birkenhead, Duffey, South Chilcotin, Stein, Taseko.

Overnight snowfall amounts Monday are uncertain. That being said, wind slabs will be the main concern as moderate to strong winds are expected to blow in the alpine and treeline.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Most recent reports indicate wind slab avalanche activity to size 1 and 1.5 in the alpine.

Snowpack Summary

Recent new snow accumulation is being redistributed by moderate southwest winds.

A melt-freeze crust from late January can found down 60-80 cm. At the moment this layer appears to be gaining strength though in isolated areas small facets can still found above the crust.

There is a widespread weak layer of large sugary of facets at the bottom of the snowpack. . Snowpack depths around treeline range between 150 to 250 cm.

Weather Summary

Monday Night

Cloudy with flurries, accumulation 5-15cm. Wind moderate to strong southwest. Treeline temperature -5 °C. Freezing level 1000 m.

Tuesday

Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries, accumulation 1-3cm. Wind light to moderate northeast. Treeline temperature -7 °C. Freezing level 500 m.

Wednesday

Mainly cloudy. Wind light to moderate east and northeast. Treeline temperature -14 °C.

Thursday

Mix of sun and cloud. Wind moderate northeast wind. Treeline temperature -16 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Recent wind has varied in direction so watch for wind slabs on all aspects.
  • Avoid steep, rocky, and wind effected areas where triggering slabs is more likely.
  • In areas where deep persistent slabs may exist, avoid shallow or variable depth snowpacks and unsupported terrain features.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.