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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 2nd, 2023–Feb 3rd, 2023

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Coquihalla, Harrison-Fraser, Manning, Skagit.

Watch for fresh, reactive wind slabs on north and east facing slopes in the alpine and treeline. Be especially cautious of wind slabs in steep, unsupported, and convex terrain features.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Sunday, a skier accidental wind slab avalanche was reported on a south-facing slope at 1800 m. This avalanche was 70 cm deep and is suspected to have slid on the Jan melt-freeze crust. Check out the MIN for a detailed report.

Thank you for the MIN's, please continue to post your reports and photos to the Mountain Information Network.

Snowpack Summary

Southwest winds have redistributed 5-15 cm storm snow into fresh wind slabs over previously scoured surfaces on northern aspects. On southern aspects storm snow overlies stiff wind slabs. A breakable crust exists on the surface at lower elevations and on steep solar aspects to 1800 m. Softer snow still exists in sheltered areas at treeline and below.

A melt-freeze crust from mid-January is found down 30-40 cm in many areas but up to 70 cm in wind-loaded places. Isolated weak layers may exist within the middle and lower snowpack below this, but the thick crusts sitting above them make triggering avalanches on these layers unlikely.

Snowpack depths are 150 to 200 cm at treeline and taper rapidly below 1500 m.

Weather Summary

Thursday night

Mainly clear with cloudy periods. Southwesterly ridgetop winds 40 to 60 km/h. Treeline temperatures -3 ˚C. Freezing levels 1200 m.

Friday

Mainly clear with cloudy periods. Southwesterly ridgetop winds 40 to 60 km/h. Treeline temperatures -1 ˚C. Freezing levels 1400 m.

Overnight cloudy with isolated flurries, 2-10 cm accumulation.

Saturday

Mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries, 2 cm accumulation. Southwesterly ridgetop winds 40 km/h. Treeline temperatures -1 ˚C. Freezing levels 1500 m.

Sunday

Cloudy with scattered flurries, 2-5 cm accumulation. Southwesterly ridgetop winds 40 km/h. Treeline temperatures -1 ˚C. Freezing levels 1400 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Wind slabs may be poorly bonded to the underlying crust.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.