Avalanche forecast

South Columbia

Jan 18 – 19, 2016Avalanche Canada
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Archived · expired 11 years ago

Avalanche danger

Wed
Thu
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
3 · Considerable
Below
3 · Considerable

Highlights

A touchy persistent slab problem demands respect. Use extra caution in your terrain selection.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–3
    Recently formed wind slabs may be lurking behind ridges and ribs.
  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely - Very Likely
    Size
    1–4
    The slab sitting over a volatile weak layer is primed for human triggering. It has been most reactive at and below treeline.

Confidence

Moderate - Timing of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Weather Forecast

Fairly benign weather is expected for the next couple of days ahead of the next storm due late Thursday. Overnight Monday: 5-10 cm snow; Tuesday/ Wednesday: flurries; Thursday: 10-20 cm. The freezing level drops from 1100 m to valley floor late on Tuesday. Moderate southerly winds become light by late Tuesday. For more details check out https://avalanche.ca/weather.

Avalanche Summary

Avalanche activity has been widespread over the last few days as recent snow has reached a critical load above a volatile weak layer. Human and naturally-triggered avalanches in the size 1-2.5 range have been most prevalent below treeline, but have also occurred at treeline and alpine elevations. Wind slabs have also been reported in wind-exposed terrain. A ski tourer was buried last week, and professionals continue to operate with great caution. Continued human triggering of persistent slab avalanches is likely.

Snowpack Summary

A 40-80 cm persistent slab overlies a variety of surfaces including large surface hoar, sun crusts, and facets. This slab is ripe for human triggers and is especially touchy below treeline. Recently formed wind slabs also exist on lee features at alpine and treeline elevations. The mid and lower snowpack are generally well settled and strong.

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