Avalanche forecast

Vancouver Island

Jan 3 – 4, 2024Avalanche Canada
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Avalanche danger

Fri
Sat
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
1 · Low
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Assess conditions as you gain elevation. Slopes at upper elevations that are above threshold for avalanches may have  rider triggerable wind slabs.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely
    Size
    1–1.5

    New snow accompanied by Southerly winds could form rider triggerable wind slabs at upper elevations. The largest and most reactive slabs will be found in the alpine on northerly aspects.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

No avalanches have been reported recently.

Please help out your backcountry community by submitting a MIN report if you head out to the backcountry.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 10 cm of new snow overlies a hard melt-freeze crust at treeline and alpine elevations. It is possible to find surface hoar over this crust in some locations.

Various buried melt-freeze crusts are found throughout the snowpack.

Treeline snow depths generally range from 50 to 120 cm. Snow depth diminishes rapidly below 1000 m. Travelling on skis is almost impossible below treeline.

Check out this great MIN that describes conditions at Mt Cain.

Weather Summary

Tuesday Night

Cloudy with 5 to 15 cm of new snow expected, southeast ridgetop  wind 25 to 40 km/h, freezing level around 1200 m.

Wednesday

Mostly cloudy with up to 10 cm of new snow expected, south ridgetop wind 20 to 35 km/h, freezing level around 1300 m.

Thursday

Partly cloudy with up to 15 cm of new snow  expected, southwest ridgetop wind 10 to 40 km/h, freezing level around 1300 m.

Friday

A mix of sun and cloud with up to 20 cm of new snow possible, southwest ridgetop wind 25 to 40 km/h, freezing level around 1000 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be carefull around freshly wind loaded features.
  • Avalanche danger is often elevated in alpine gullies where snow has accumulated.
  • Travelling on skis is hazardous due to a very shallow mountain snowpack.

Regions covered