Avalanche forecast

Cariboos

Dec 27 – 28, 2025Avalanche Canada
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Avalanche danger

Mon
Tue
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Continue to choose conservative terrain and give the storm snow time to settle.

We have some uncertainty in the potential for persistent slab avalanches after the recent storm.

Avalanche problems

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely - Possible
    Size
    2.5–3.5

    Persistent weak layers are unlikely to be triggered where they are capped by a thick crust. Triggering remains possible in upper treeline and in the alpine where a substantial crust may not be present.

  • Storm Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible - Likely
    Size
    1.5–2.5

    Up to 40 cm of new storm snow  has formed storm slabs at all elevations. The largest and most reactive will be found on northerly aspects near ridge crests.

Confidence

Moderate

  • Uncertainty is due to the fact that persistent slabs are particularly difficult to forecast.

Avalanche Summary

We expect a storm and wind slab avalanche cycle occurred on Friday, initial reports of natural avalanches up to size 2.5 have started to trickle in at the time of publishing.

On Thursday a few persistent slab avalanches, up to size 3 were observed. These avalanches released in the alpine and at upper treeline elevations, likely where the December 16 crust was thin or breakable.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 40 cm of new storm snow  has been redistributed by southerly wind into deeper deposits on north aspects.

70 to 110 cm of settling snow sits over a prominent crust formed in mid-December that extends up to 2300 m.  Where this crust is thick and supportive, it caps a few weak layers from December and November, making them difficult to trigger.

Weather Summary

Friday Night

Mostly cloudy. 4 to 10 cm of snow. 20 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -14 °C.

Saturday

Mostly sunny. 20 to 35 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -19 °C.

Sunday

Mix of sun and clouds. 1 cm of snow. 20 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -14 °C.

Monday

Mostly cloudy. 1 to 4 cm of snow. 20 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -9 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
  • Be alert to conditions that change with elevation, aspect, and exposure to wind.
  • Use ridges or ribs to avoid areas of wind-loaded snow.
  • Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to buried weak layers.
  • Be aware of the potential for loose avalanches in steep terrain where snow hasn't formed a slab.

Regions covered