Avalanche forecast

Banff Yoho Kootenay

Jan 1 – 2, 2026Avalanche Canada
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Archived · expired 9 months ago

Avalanche danger

Sat
Sun
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Great skiing continues during a break in snowfall. Watch for reactive wind slabs in exposed alpine and treeline terrain, and be mindful of deep persistent weak layer when transitioning into areas with a thinner snowpack.

We have limited recent alpine observations.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible - Likely
    Size
    1–2

    Moderate to strong continue to move recent snow, creating wind slabs in alpine and open treeline terrain. There is also more wind in the forecast on Wednesday, which is keeping the likelihood raised. Watch for these as you transition into wind-affected terrain.

  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    2–3.5

    The natural avalanche cycle on this layer has ended, but concern about human-triggered avalanches persists. Be wary of shallow areas, as this has been where the bulk of recent large avalanches have started, going from thin to thick (see avalanche summary).

Confidence

High

  • Uncertainty is due to the fact that deep persistent slabs are particularly difficult to forecast.

Avalanche Summary

New natural wind slabs up to size 1.5 were observed today in the Kootenay. Ski hills reported mixed results from explosive control, with generally fewer and smaller avalanches than expected. However, Lake Louise patrol triggered a size 3 deep persistent slab that failed to ground. This fits the recent trend: low overall reactivity, but the potential remains for large, destructive avalanches in isolated areas.

Snowpack Summary

Strong winds have continued to develop windslabs in alpine and open treeline terrain. In sheltered areas, recent storm snow (20-30 cm) remains preserved.

There is 40-80 cm over the Dec 15 melt-freeze crust (which is present to 1800-2000 m), 80-160 cm over the November facet/crust interfaces, and, in thinner snowpack areas, facets at the base.

Treeline snow depths range from 100-200+ cm.

Weather Summary

A weak ridge of high pressure will remain in place through Thursday, bringing a mix of sun and cloud, moderate ridge-top winds, and freezing levels near valley bottom. Precipitation is expected to begin Friday, with forecast accumulations of 5–10 cm by Saturday.

Link to the weather forecast

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
  • Avoid thin areas like rocky outcrops where you're most likely to trigger avalanches on deep weak layers.

Regions covered