Avalanche forecast

Northwest Coastal

Feb 27 – 28, 2026Avalanche Canada
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Avalanche danger

Sun
Mon
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
3 · Considerable
Below
2 · Moderate

Highlights

Stick to conservative, low consequence slopes while the storm snow settles.

Human triggered avalanches are likely and natural avalanches are possible.

Avalanche problems

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible - Likely
    Size
    1–3

    With increased load, the buried weak layers from early February (facets, surface hoar and crusts) in the upper metre of the snowpack may become more reactive, producing widely propagating avalanches.

  • Storm Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1.5–2.5

    Storm snow will remain reactive to human triggering. On slopes where wind loading is still occurring natural avalanches will be likely as well.

Confidence

Moderate

  • We are uncertain about how quickly the snowpack will recover and gain strength.
  • We are confident that there are persistent slabs in the snowpack, but uncertain about how likely they are to trigger.

Avalanche Summary

A natural avalanche cycle occurred on Wednesday and likely continued through Thursday but we have not received reports yet of activity on Thursday.

Avalanches have been reported to run far and up to size 3. Most of this activity likely occurred on north through east aspects.

Check out this great MIN report from Shames.

Snowpack Summary

By Friday morning, storm totals are expected to reach 80 cm in most areas with up to 120 cm on the immediate coast. This new snow was accompanied by strong to extreme southwest wind, forming deeper deposits on north and east facing terrain. In sheltered terrain this new snow could overlie surface hoar or a sun crust.

Several weak layers of crust, surface hoar or facets are buried 75 to 150 cm deep. These layers are most concerning on sheltered treeline features.

Below, the remaining snowpack is generally well settled and well bonded.

Weather Summary

Thursday Night
Mostly cloudy. 5 to 15 cm of snow. 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -9 °C.

Friday
Mix of sun and clouds. 2 to 4 cm of snow. 40 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -9 °C.

Saturday
Mostly cloudy. 2 to 5 cm of snow. 40 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -8 °C.

Sunday
Mostly cloudy. 4 to 20 cm of snow. 70 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind, or rain.
  • Use conservative route selection. Choose simple, low angle terrain with no overhead hazard.
  • Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to buried weak layers.
  • Avalanches could start at higher elevations and travel into below treeline terrain.

Regions covered