Regions
South Coast Inland.
Natural and human triggered avalanches are very likely on Thursday. Travel in avalanche terrain is not recommended.
Weather Forecast
Wednesday night: 20-30 cm new snow / Moderate, southwesterly winds/ Freezing level beginning to rise.Thursday: 30-40 cm new snow / Strong, southwesterly winds / Freezing level rising to 1000-1500 m.(Cooler in the north)Friday: Cloudy with flurries / Strong, southwesterly winds / Freezing level dropping to 500-1000 m.Saturday: Mostly cloudy / Moderate, westerly winds/ Freezing level around 1000 m.
Avalanche Summary
Heavy snow, strong winds, and warming is elevating the avalanche danger to HIGH on Thursday.
Snowpack Summary
35-50 cm(lower amounts in the north) of recent storm snow has buried a wide variety of old snow surfaces including stiff wind slab or wind effected snow at upper elevations, sun crust on steep southerly slopes, surface hoar and surface facets in sheltered locations. The mid-January surface hoar and facet interface is now buried 50-80 cm and the mid-December facets down 90-120 cm remain a concern especially in shallower snowpack areas like the Duffey, Hurley and/ or South Chilcotins. These deeper weaknesses warrant monitoring especially through periods of more load. In southern areas (Coquihalla), the lower snowpack is reportedly well settled(stronger), than it is to the north.
Problems
Storm Slabs
Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.
Persistent Slabs
Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.