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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 5th, 2014–Apr 6th, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Glacier.

Weather Forecast

Unsettled weather will bring light snow above 1400m today and tonight. A ridge will build on Sunday bringing convective weather with local squalls and sunny breaks into Monday when freezing levelsĀ  are expected to rise to 2000m.

Snowpack Summary

20cm of recent storm snow sits over the April 2 crust on solar aspects. The Mar 22 Cr is down ~50cm, the Mar 2 is down ~1.0m, the Feb 10 is down ~1.75m.

Avalanche Summary

Skier accidental on wind loaded terrain feature yesterday, size 1.0, Balu pass, south east aspect, ~2050m, down 10-15cm and 20m wide. Natural avalanches were observed yesterday morning east of the Rogers Pass summit mostly from the steep north facing gullies from Mt Macdonald up to size 2.5.

Confidence

on Saturday

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.