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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 17th, 2017–Feb 18th, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Glacier.

Expect variable conditions as you transition from warm temperatures below tree line to new wind affected snow in the alpine. The presence of sunshine could increase avalanche hazard at all elevations.

Weather Forecast

A building ridge of high pressure will block precipitation today and deliver a mix of sun and cloud. Freezing levels are dropping and are expected to stay below 1400m today. Ridge winds will be moderate from the SW. A low pressure system moving through the area tomorrow will bring more light precipitation with another 7cm of snow for the weekend.

Snowpack Summary

7cm of new snow fell last night bringing the 3-day total to 30cm in the alpine. At lower elevations, we have had periods of rain. Storm snow at higher elevations sits atop a suncrust on solar aspects and surface hoar in areas sheltered from sun and wind. The top 20-50cm of snow is moist on all aspects to TL.

Avalanche Summary

Warm temperatures, precipitation and strong winds contributed to a widespread natural moist/wet avalanche cycle yesterday, especially at lower elevations. Avalanches were generally in the size 2-2.5 range, however there were some avalanches running up to size 3 in the highway corridor off of Mt MacDonald.

Confidence

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.