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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 17th, 2018–Jan 18th, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Banff Yoho Kootenay.

New snow and wind are coming. Windslabs will likely be forming all day Thursday. Weak mid-pack layers are still worrisome.

Weather Forecast

Snow and wind are expected again Thursday. A little warming with the snow and then a return to cooler temperatures. Snowfall amounts are expected to be in the 10cm range. Maybe 15cm by Friday.

Snowpack Summary

Suncrust can occasionally be found on S and W aspects. 30-50cm of snow sits over the Dec.15 persistent weak layer of facets and surface hoar. The overlying slab propagation is extremely variable across the region with stability of the snow being specific to each slope. Overall the snowpack is still well facetted

Avalanche Summary

Avalanche control on Tuesday was mostly underwhelming with larger avalanches noted on Mt. Dennis in Yoho. No new avalanches were reported today.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.