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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 9th, 2019–Feb 10th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Coast.

Strong outflow winds have produced stiff and firm wind slabs. Reactive wind slabs are most likely in wind-loaded areas: below ridgelines, under cornices, and around steep, unsupported features.

Confidence

Moderate - Wind effect is extremely variable

Weather Forecast

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Treeline temperatures near -10C. Ridgetop winds light from the northeast.SUNDAY: Sunny with clouds and chance of flurries overnight, trace to 5 cm accumulation. Treeline temperatures near -10C. Ridgetop winds light to moderate from the east.MONDAY: Mix of sun and cloud. Treeline temperatures near -9C. Ridgetop winds light from the northeast.TUESDAY: Cloudy with isolated flurries, trace to 10 cm accumulation. Treeline temperatures near -9C. Ridgetop winds light to moderate from the northeast.

Avalanche Summary

Recent winds developed slabs on steep, alpine features. Wind slabs were most reactive early in the week, however strong outflow winds continue to any redistribute loose, dry snow.Last Monday, a MIN from Mt. Anif showed substantial wind loading and a reactive wind slab problem at treeline and alpine elevations (see report here).

Snowpack Summary

In the alpine and along ridgetops, 20-40 cm of wind affected snow sits above a crust or old wind pressed snow surfaces. Strong outflow winds have redistributed and formed isolated wind slabs at most elevations. In sheltered areas, loose dry sluffing within the recent snow can be found in steeper terrain features. Winds are impacting all elevations, however surface hoar development may be found in the most sheltered areas at treeline and below. The mid-pack is well-settled and strong.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.