Avalanche forecast

Waterton Lakes

Feb 24 – 27, 2019Parks Canada
View on map
Archived · expired 8 years ago

Avalanche danger

Mon
Tue
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
2 · Moderate

Highlights

Recent snow has formed a slab overloading weak snow below treeline. This problem is compounded by the newly burnt forest, allowing wind to stiffen the snow all the way to valley bottom.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible - Likely
    Size
    1–2
    Winds slabs formed from recent W winds have now been buried by Saturdays snowfall and may be hard to detect.
  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2.5
    Recent snow has been enough to create a slab over deep instabilities below treeline where the snowpack is shallow and weak, and melt freeze crusts have been preserved. These were reactive to skier traffic on Mt. Bertha on Thursday.

Weather Forecast

Saturday: Mix of sun and cloud with light Northeast winds. Alpine High -15Sunday: Sunny with cloudy periods, light East winds. Temperature inversion, with an Alpine high of -19.Monday: Cloudy with isolated flurries, with up to 10cm on the front ranges, and less along the divide. Alpine high of -18

Snowpack Summary

The midpack remains strong in deep snowpack areas, but is acting as a slab above deep weak layers in shallower areas that is reactive skiers mainly at below treeline elevations where melt freeze crusts have been preserved. Continued snowfall on Saturday is burying windslabs formed by recent Westerly winds.

Avalanche Summary

We received a second hand report of skier triggered avalanches below treeline on Mt. Bertha on Thursday failing on facets above a crust deep in the snowpack, or basal facets. A natural size 2 slab was also observed below treeline in a steep and shallow snowpack feature in the Cameron Lake area that failed on similar weak layers earlier in the week.

Confidence

Regions covered