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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 4th, 2019–Mar 5th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Jasper.

The clear and warm streak continues. Be aware of day time warming as it will increase the avalanche hazard.

Weather Forecast

Tuesday: Sunny with cloudy periods. Precip: Nil High -8 C. Ridge wind east: 10 km/h. Freezing level at valley bottom.Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries. Precip: Trace Low -16 C, High -5 C. Ridge wind south: 10-25 km/h. Freezing level: 1400 meters.Mountain weather forecast available at Avalanche Canada.

Snowpack Summary

The upper snowpack remains faceted on all aspects. S and W aspects are starting to show signs of solar input. Wind effect in open terrain from previous SW and now N winds. Much of the mid-pack is faceted with some strength and support on skis but not always under foot. The warming trend on Wednesday will destabilize the snowpack.

Avalanche Summary

A field team ice climbing down south today noticed previously baked solar slopes from previous warm days, no new avalanche noted today.

Confidence

Due to the number and quality of field observations

Problems

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.