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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 30th, 2013–Dec 31st, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Forecasters have very little confidence in the snowpack due to the persistent basal weakness of facets and depth hoar. This winter is much different than last season. Conservative route selection is a must.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Cloudy conditions will continue for the next day or two with light snow accumulations of up to 5cm. Winds remain in the strong to extreme range from the West. Alpine temperatures will be near -8 degrees on Tuesday.

Avalanche Summary

Several loose dry avalanches up to size 1.5 were observed today on steep North and East aspects in the Alpine.

Snowpack Summary

Recent HST has been redistributed to lee and cross-loaded features due to extreme West winds. Wind slabs are now prevalent in Alpine and open areas at treeline. The weak basal facets and depth hoar remain a major concern in the snowpack as this weak layer now has significant slabs overlying it.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.