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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 5th, 2015–Jan 6th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Very little wind and less than expected snow is keeping the hazard steady. The skiing is slowly improving out there. Sheltered areas at treeline are the most promising right now.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

A few flurries overnight with light winds from the SW. Above 3000m, the winds will be peak tonight at 50km/hr and drop throughout the day tomorrow. The temps will start to climb slightly. A mild inversion is expected tomorrow afternoon. There is a bit of snow expected for tomorrow...6cm!

Avalanche Summary

Nothing new today, but a previous(last 48hrs), isolated cycle is still visible. Steep alpine gullies were the common terrain feature.

Snowpack Summary

Below tree line has 50-70cm's of coverage still. Travel can be tedious off an existing trail. The Dec 13th crust is becoming more breakable due to the faceting of the supporting snow underneath. At treeline, the snowpack starts to grow(80-110cm's) and becomes a bit better. The crust is still very easy to find, but travel improves as the mid-pack becomes more dense. The Dec13th ice layer/crust is down 15-20cm's. The surface snow is still untouched by the winds. In the alpine, the crust is apparent up to 2200-2300m. The ice layer found at treeline is replaced with a melt freeze crust. Wherever the crust exists, the faceting below is becoming more and more obvious. Generally very little wind effect. Above 2400m, the winds have created windslabs that are presently limited to immediate lee features. The Nov6th crust is now completely decomposed. We have a typical rockies facet/depth hoar base at the moment.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.