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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 20th, 2012–Apr 21st, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

A clear weekend is forecast so expect stability to decrease due to solar radiation and temperatures rising throughout the day. These decreaes will be most apparent on thin rocky solar aspects so start eaaarrrllllyyyy!

Confidence

Good - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain on Saturday

Weather Forecast

Clear conditions overnight and clear skies on Saturday will give us two things. A good freeze overnight, and a rapid decrease in stability when the sun starts to come out. No new snow is expected and freezing levels will be around 1900m. Winds are expected to decrease into the light range out of the SW.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanche observations.

Snowpack Summary

A few new cm of snow fell overnight that was settling rapidly due to the warm temps. Expect up to 8cm of new snow overlying a crust on all aspects but true north. Dry snow can still be found on N aspects down to about 2300m.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.