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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 8th, 2015–Mar 9th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Wind slabs seem to be more sensitive to triggering in the past 24 hours. Keep an eye on solar radiation as we transition into more spring like conditions.

Confidence

Good - Freezing levels are uncertain

Weather Forecast

A mix of sun and cloud with mild temperatures over the next couple of days. Westerly winds gusting to 85km/h are expected on Monday. No new snow is expected.

Avalanche Summary

Report came in late yesterday of a skier triggered avalanche on the South face of Mt. Nestor, This was a size 2.0 that initiated at 2700m and ran well down into the track. This avalanche was a surface wind slab that stepped down to the November facets.There was also a small wind slab (size 1.0) that was naturally triggered in the past 24hrs on a steep wind affected East aspect at 2300m.

Snowpack Summary

Widespread wind affect in Alpine and open areas at Treeline on all aspects. There are areas of hard wind slab, soft wind slab, sastrugi and breakable wind crust. Below 2300m ski conditions improve on polar aspects. Solar aspects were going moist by midday.

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.