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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 13th, 2014–Mar 14th, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Danger ratings will be closely tied to the rise and fall of the freezing level over the next couple of days.  Expect steeper solar aspects to exhibit signs of weakening as the day progresses and air temperatures rise.  Be aware of overhead terrain.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Freezing levels rose to @1900 m on Thursday and similar conditions are expected on Friday with some light flurries through the day - accumulations of 4-7cm near the divide. Low tonight -10 and overnight winds winds west 25 gusting to 35 km/h. Winds increasing on Friday westerly 40 gusting to 85 km/h!  Looking at the possibility of 20cm+ late in the weekend based on current forecast models so stay tuned...

Avalanche Summary

No new natural avalanches observed or reported. Avalanche control work on EEOR produced mixed results with slab avalanches up to Size 2.5.

Snowpack Summary

While slightly cooler on Thursday we are still seeing some settlement taking place within the snowpack due to mild temperatures. Water is visible running down the rocks on steep solar aspects indicating some additional heating and weakening is taking place at higher elevations.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.