Avalanche forecast

Central Sierra Nevada

Sierra Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Alpine
1 · Low
Treeline
1 · Low
Below
1 · Low
Out of date — this forecast expired 7 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

On a regional scale, LOW avalanche danger exists for all elevations. An isolated unstable area may be out there in the form of wind drifted snow or warming wet snow. However unlikely it is to trigger an avalanche today on a regional scale, today is not a no danger scenario.

Avalanche problems

  • Cornices

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely
    Size
    1

    No avalanches have been reported in the past week. There have been ongoing moderate to gale force wind events, shifting winds, and light to moderate amounts of blowing snow for many days now. For the most part, the snow available to drift and deposit as unstable wind slabs is extremely limited, especially where capped by rain crust below 9,000'. If you encounter a smooth looking, not icy area near treeline or above treeline, you may have found the isolated, potentially unstable wind slab. Move around it with caution.

    While some warming and snow surface melt is expected today on southerly aspects, the expected amount of wet snow formation is unlikely to create much in the way of a loose wet avalanche problem. Expect more warming and wet snow formation around exposed rocks. If you encounter a few inches or more of surface wet snow, manage for a loose wet avalanche problem.

    The challenge with isolated instability is that when encountering slope after slope of stable snow, our human brains get lazy, turn off, and we let down our guard. During periods of LOW danger, travel avalanche terrain using the tactics of Normal Caution, just as if the danger rating were higher in order to minimize exposure and consequences from an unexpected human triggered avalanche. If venturing into couloirs, cliff areas, or other complex terrain where snowpack variability is usually greater, expect a greater likelihood of finding that isolated area of unstable snow.

Avalanche Discussion

* Generally stable snowpack conditions have been reported throughout the forecast area.

* Periods of blowing snow have been ongoing for over a week from moderate to gale force NE to E and SW to W ridgetop winds. Minimal new wind slab formation has occurred in recent days.

* Rain to about 9,000' on Jan 1 left behind a breakable to supportable crust on all aspects. Long sliding falls could occur in areas where this crust is firm.

Regions covered