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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 21st, 2016–Jan 22nd, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Banff Yoho Kootenay.

Expect an increase in human and natural avalanche activity as new snow and wind increases the load over very prominent facets below.  SH

Weather Forecast

10cm of snow can be expected between now & the end of Friday on top of the 25cm we have so far. The winds will continue to be strong from the West, and temperatures will also rise with freezing levels around1800 m.

Snowpack Summary

Strong westerly winds have been rapidly building slabs at treeline and above out of the 15-25cm of recent snow.  The overall snowpack has become weaker from the facetting process but is still supportive where over 1 meter, otherwise below the new snow, its facets to the ground.

Avalanche Summary

Over the past week, several skier triggered and natural loose snow avalanches to size 2 have been reported in steep terrain gaining mass as they travel and running far. Avalanche control on Mt. Bourgeau showed a similar trend Thursday, with one size 2 starting as a  small wind slab which scrubbed all of the facets in the track and hit the road.

Confidence

Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Friday

Problems

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.