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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 15th, 2018–Feb 18th, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.

Regions

Waterton Lakes.

Watch for the hazard to rise rapidly with the forecast snow on Saturday

Weather Forecast

Temperatures will be steady around -5C on Friday and into Saturday with light to moderate SW winds. Temps look to drop Saturday night into the low teens with up to 30cm of snow and NE winds

Snowpack Summary

There is a weak facet layer deep in the snowpack that has been producing large avalanches in and around Waterton. Wind slabs can be found on lees slopes with the new snow and winds on Thursday.

Avalanche Summary

There were several large to very large avalanches in and around Waterton last weekend clearing mature timber and running to ground. Natural activity has tapered on this layer through the week but might wake up again with the rapid loading on Saturday night.

Confidence

Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain on Saturday

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.