Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Regions
Lizard-Flathead.
Recent snow will need time to stabilize and ongoing winds are likely to drive continued wind slab development.
Confidence
Moderate - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain
Weather Forecast
MONDAY: Mix of sun and cloud. Freezing level near 600 m. Moderate westerly winds. TUESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud with flurries. Freezing level near 900 m. Moderate south-westerly winds.WEDNESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud with flurries. Freezing level near 900 m. Moderate south-westerly winds.More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Avalanche Summary
A skier triggered a size 2 slab on a steep south-east facing slope near ridge crest at 1970 m on Saturday. It was 20-60 cm deep and failed on facets. Explosives testing produced several loose dry avalanches in steep terrain. A natural cornice fall triggered a size 2 wind slab on a north-east aspect.A skier also remotely triggered a size 2 persistent slab on a north aspect at 1750 m. It failed on surface hoar, which is isolated in its distribution, but is most likely found on sheltered north aspects.A developing wind slab problem was observed as winds picked up throughout the day. These problems are expected to continue to develop, and may be especially touchy in specific locations where they overlie buried persistent weak layers.
Snowpack Summary
New wind slabs are building quickly as available light dry snow is moved around by moderate to strong winds. Snow spillage from steep ground is also loading up fans. In more sheltered locations, you may encounter storm slabs or loose dry sluffing. These upper snowpack problems overlie various old surfaces including old hard wind slabs, crusts, facets and spotty surface hoar. Deeper in the snowpack, the widespread mid-December weak layer sits about 130-220 cm deep. This consists of a crust, facets or surface hoar. Near the base of the snowpack, a crust/facet layer could be awoken from a thin-spot trigger point, or with a very large load like a cornice fall.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.
Storm Slabs
Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.