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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 14th, 2017–Mar 15th, 2017

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Avoid overhead exposure.  Strong solar radiation and warming a real concern for avalanches to release into the deeper basal weak layer.

Confidence

-

Weather Forecast

Wednesday will bring 6cm of snow and an alpine temperature of -1c.  Ridge winds are forecast for 30-40km/h from the SW.  Freezing level could reach 2200m and higher on solar aspects.  Overnight low temperatures of -1c are expected.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were observed in our region but the visibility was poor.  Our neighbours in Banff Park have reported a large avalanche cycle going into the weak basal layer.  The forecasters suspect that we will see some large avalanches with the warming and strong solar radiation.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 4 cm of snow in the past 24hrs.  Wind slabs are present at tree line and above on all aspects and are primed for human triggering.  A large recent avalanche cycle in Banff National Park with avalanches going to the deeper layers have the forecasters concerned with the warming temperatures and strong solar radiation.  The deeper layer of concern is the bottom 90cm of the snowpack which is comprised of depth hoar and facets.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.