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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 14th, 2014–Jan 15th, 2014

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Glacier.

Ease into the backcountry with caution, we had lots of snow and wind yesterday keeping the danger elevated. Be mindful of the overhead cornice and avalanche hazard.

Weather Forecast

Northwest flow pattern bringing unsettled weather into Thursday. Light snow is expected until then. Freezing levels will be around 1200m today lowering tomorrow to 900m. Clearer skies forecast on Thursday.

Snowpack Summary

Upper 60cm, 35cm of heavy storm snow sits over low density snow. Rain or melt freeze curst on the surface below 1400m. The January 8 surface hoar layer is down around 60-75cm. The mid pack is well settled with the November 28 surface hoar layer down around 2m where present. The basal layer is more facetted snow showing signs of strengthening.

Avalanche Summary

Widespread natural cycle yesterday with avalanches running to size 3.5 in the highway corridor.  Backcountry operations in the interior reporting similar observations.Artillery control produced numerous size 3.0 to 3.5 avalanches and most notably a size 4.0 off of Mt Green that released down to the glacial ice depositing snow onto the highway.

Confidence

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.