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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Nov 23rd, 2016–Nov 24th, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Glacier.

A decent winter storm is coming to the region. Avalanche danger will increase as the snow piles up.

Weather Forecast

Flurries amounting to 5cm today, along with moderate SW winds at ridge-top and freezing levels rising to ~1500m. Thursday will see 10-15cm of snow arrive with freezing levels around 1200m and moderate to strong SW winds. Friday promises another 10cm with mod-strong SW winds and valley-bottom freezing levels.

Snowpack Summary

Over the past week 70cm of snow fell at 1900m and is settling into a slab, which sits on the November 13 crust. Recent tests on this interface indicate that in isolated areas the slab may have a poor bond and could be triggered by a person. Pockets of windslab are present in the immediate lee of ridge-top features.

Avalanche Summary

Solar point releases to size one were observed and reported yesterday. These were on south to south-west aspects.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.