Avalanche forecast

Lizard-Flathead

Feb 18 – 19, 2024Avalanche Canada
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Archived · expired 3 years ago

Avalanche danger

Tue
Wed
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Slab avalanches have been reactive to human triggers. This is most likely where the snow is wind affected.

Choose smaller test slopes before committing to large features.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–2

    Wind slabs are likely to be reactive just below ridgetops and in steep, alpine terrain features.

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2.5

    Recent storm snow and wind slabs overlie a melt freeze crust that was buried on February the 3rd. Test on small features before committing to larger terrain.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Friday and Saturday near Fernie, a couple of small (size 1) rider-triggered wind slab avalanches were reported.

On Thursday, three large (size 2) explosive triggered persistent slab avalanches were reported. These avalanches failed on the February melt freeze crust, 60 cm deep.

Snowpack Summary

Alpine and open treeline terrain is generally wind-affected. In wind sheltered areas, 30 to 60 cm of settling snow sits on the rain crust formed in early February. In some places, weak, sugary crystals (facets) are starting to form over the crust.

There are crusts and facets in the mid and lower snowpack but they have not produced any recent avalanches.

Weather Summary

Saturday Night

Clear. No new snow expected. Light southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature around -5 °C.

Sunday

Partly cloudy. No new snow expected. Light west or southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature around -7 °C.

Monday

Mostly cloudy. 0-1 cm of snow expected. Light southwest ridgetop wind. Freezing level to 1000 m. Treeline temperature around -7 °C.

Tuesday

Mostly cloudy. 1-5 cm of snow expected. Light to moderate southwest ridgetop wind. Freezing level rising to 1500 m. Treeline temperature around -5 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Keep in mind that human triggering potential persists as natural avalanching tapers off.
  • Keep in mind the crust offers an excellent bed surface for avalanches.
  • Carefully evaluate steep lines for wind slabs.

Regions covered