Avalanche forecast

Cariboos

Feb 12 – 13, 2026Avalanche Canada
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Archived · expired 8 months ago

Avalanche danger

Sat
Sun
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
3 · Considerable
Below
3 · Considerable

Highlights

Storm slabs overlying a persistent weak layer are creating dangerous avalanche conditions.

Careful snowpack evaluation and conservative terrain choices are essential right now.

Avalanche problems

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Very Likely
    Size
    1–2.5

    A persistent weak layer of large surface hoar/ facets/ crust from late Januray is buried 30 to 80 cm and remains a significant concern. Avalanche activity has been prevalent on it this week, including some remote triggering.

  • Storm Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2

    40-50 cm of recent snow combined with strong winds formed reactive storm slabs. These slabs will be most reactive on lee slopes near ridgetops and in areas where they overlie a surface hoar layer.

Confidence

Moderate

  • We are confident that there are persistent slabs in the snowpack, but uncertain about how likely they are to trigger.

Avalanche Summary

In the past few days, there have been numerous reports of natural, skier-triggered and remote-triggered avalanches across the region up to size 2.5. Some were storm slabs that stepped down to the late January persistent weak layer.

Storm slabs remain reactive, with the potential to step down to persistent layers buried deeper in the snowpack.

Snowpack Summary

20 to 50 cm of settling storm snow is covering a new layer of surface hoar and/or a melt-freeze crust that formed on February 7th in many areas.

The late January persistent weak layer, consisting of surface hoar/facets/crust, is buried 40 to 80 cm. It has surprised people with its reactivity over the past week, especially in sheltered treeline features.

The mid and lower snowpack is well settled with no layers of concern.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night
Clear skies. 30 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C.

Thursday
Sunny. 30 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C.

Friday
Mix of sun and clouds. 1 to 3 cm of snow. 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6 °C.

Saturday
Mostly cloudy. 5 to 15 cm of snow. 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -7 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
  • Surface hoar distribution is highly variable. Avoid generalizing your observations.
  • Remote triggering is a concern; avoid terrain where triggering overhead slopes is possible.
  • Be especially cautious as you transition into wind-affected terrain.

Regions covered