Avalanche forecast

Vancouver Island

Jan 28 – 29, 2026Avalanche Canada
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Avalanche danger

Fri
Sat
Alpine
4 · High
Treeline
4 · High
Below
2 · Moderate

Highlights

New snow overnight and accumulating throughout the day are creating very dangerous avalanche conditions.

Avoid all avalanche terrain. Natural avalanche activity is likely.

Avalanche problems

  • Storm Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Very Likely
    Size
    2–3

    30 to 60 cm of snow is forecasted to fall above 1300 m, with hot spots in the Sutton Pass area. This new snow is falling on a robust crust and in sheltered areas a surface hoar layer. Storms slabs will be more reactive where they bury surface hoar.

Confidence

High

  • We are confident the likelihood of avalanches will increase with the forecast weather.

Avalanche Summary

We expect dangerous avalanche conditions with the incoming forecasted precipitation. Natural avalanche activity is likely, with large avalanches in many areas.

Snowpack Summary

Roughly 30 to 60 cm of snow is expected above 1200 m by the end of day Wednesday. Highest amounts expected in the southwest of the region near Sutton Pass.

This new snow will bury a hard surface crust in most areas and in sheltered terrain a surface hoar layer.

Weather Summary

Tuesday Night
Cloudy. 15 to 30 cm of snow above 1200 m. 50 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 1 °C. Freezing level 1400 m.

Wednesday
Cloudy. 15 to 35 cm of snow above 1200m. 50 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 1 °C. Freezing level 1400 m.

Thursday
Cloudy. 15 to 50 mm of rain at treeline. 50 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 3 °C. Freezing level 1800 m.

Friday
Mostly cloudy. 15 to 70 mm of rain at treeline. 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 4 °C. Freezing level 1900 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind, or rain.
  • Be aware of the potential for larger than expected storm slabs due to buried surface hoar.
  • Only the most simple non-avalanche terrain with no overhead hazard is appropriate at this time.

Regions covered