Avalanche forecast

Jasper

Jan 26 – 27, 2026Avalanche Canada
View on map
Archived · expired 8 months ago

Avalanche danger

Wed
Thu
Alpine
1 · Low
Treeline
1 · Low
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

At the top of the snowpack is a weak layer that may be problematic in areas of wind loading. At the bottom of the snowpack, the weak basal layer may be difficult to trigger, but steep, shallow areas should still be carefully assessed.

Good skiing can be found in sheltered locations below tree line.

Avalanche problems

  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely - Possible
    Size
    2–3.5

    This problem is low probability but high consequence as it would be releasing near the ground thus with a lot of destructive volume. Be extra cautious where snowpack goes from thick to thin areas.

Confidence

Avalanche Summary

On January 25th, numerous, small, dry-loose avalanches were observed in steep, rocky terrain.

On January 20th, a skier triggered a size 2.5 outside the Lake Louise ski area. It was triggered in a cross loaded, shallow feature and ran on a basal layer.

On Jan 17th, Marmot Basin Ski Patrol remote triggered a size 3.5 outside of the ski area that ran on a basal layer.

Snowpack Summary

The surface hoar and facets that were developing at the surface have now been buried under 5-15 cm of low density snow and may form a weak layer in the snowpack. The snowpack below is dense and supportive, but is weakest between 0 and 30 cm above the ground with the presence of more developed facets and potentially depth hoar.

Weather Summary

Monday

Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries.

Precipitation: Trace.

Alpine temperature: High -9 °C.

Ridge wind west: 15 km/h.

Freezing level at valley bottom.

Tuesday

A mix of sun and cloud.

Precipitation: Nil.

Alpine temperature: Low -12 °C, High -7 °C.

Ridge wind southwest: 10 km/h.

Freezing level at valley bottom.

Wednesday

Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries.

Precipitation: Trace.

Alpine temperature: Low -10 °C, High -7 °C.

Ridge wind southwest: 15-30 km/h.

Freezing level at valley bottom.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid areas with a thin or variable snowpack.
  • Make observations and continually assess conditions as you travel.
  • Be mindful that deep instabilities are still present in the snowpack.

Regions covered