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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 16th, 2026–Jan 17th, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Coast, North Shore, Sasquatch, Sky Pilot, Tetrahedron.

As warm temperatures and solar input break down the surface crust, wet loose avalanche activity may become possible. Especially on steep south-facing slopes.

Confidence

High

  • Confidence is due to a stable weather pattern with little change expected.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches have been reported since Monday.

Loose wet avalanches are possible as the thick crust breaks down during daytime warming. This pattern is expected to persist throughout the weekend, while we are under a strong ridge of high pressure.

Snowpack Summary

A thick crust caps moist snow at treeline and in the alpine. Below treeline, the snowpack is fully saturated, and a crust may not have formed.

The mid and lower snowpack is well consolidated and there are no layers of concern. The snowpack height is 75 to 175 cm at treeline.

Weather Summary

Friday Night
Clear skies. 10 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 9 °C. Freezing level 3500 m.

Saturday
Sunny. 10 km/h north ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 10 °C. Freezing level 3600 m.

Sunday
Sunny. 20 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 10 °C. Freezing level 3300 m.

Monday
Sunny. 30 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 8 °C. Freezing level 3300 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avalanche activity is unlikely when a thick melt-freeze crust is present on the snow surface.
  • A moist or wet snow surface, pinwheeling, and natural avalanches are all indicators of a weakening snowpack.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.