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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 26th, 2022–Dec 27th, 2022

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Akamina, Crowsnest North, Crowsnest South.

Expect winds slabs to continue to be touchy to triggering on Tuesday into Wednesday as rain and warm temperatures will continue to build slab properties in the upper snowpack.

Wind loaded features are the primary concern. Watch for wind slabs in sheltered terrain and expect reactivity to be greatest in areas they are sitting over surface hoar.

Confidence

Low

Avalanche Summary

On Sunday 1 large avalanche (size 2) was triggered utilizing explosives on a east aspect at 1850 m. This avalanche ran on a surface composed of facets with a crown depth that was on average 40cm deep and ran for 200 meters.

On Friday, wind slabs were reported to size one from natural and human triggers.

If you are heading into the backcountry please consider filling out a Mountain Information Network report.

Snowpack Summary

Strong westerly winds have redistributed recent snow into wind slabs at higher elevations. On south facing slopes wind slab could have formed over a sun crust. A layer of surface hoar down around 30cm can be found in sheltered terrain on all aspects up to 2000m. Reactivity will increase where wind slabs sit over this surface hoar, especially as temperatures increase on Tuesday.

A weak layer consisting of facets and a crust formed in November is now buried around 60cm deep.

In general, the snowpack is quite weak and faceted with average snowpack depths of around 150cm at treeline.

Weather Summary

Monday Night

Cloudy with 1 to 5 cm of snow expected, or light rain. Strong southwest winds 80 km/h. Freezing levels remaining at 2000 m. Alpine temperatures of +3 °C.

Tuesday

Wet snow and rain continues with another 1 to 5 mm. Strong westerly winds 80 km/h with the freezing levels remaining elevated at 2000 to 2500 m.

Wednesday

Light precipitation 1 to 2 mm. Light southwesterly winds 10 km/h. Freezing levels are expected to begin to descend to around 500 m near days end.

Thursday

Light precipitation 1 to 2 mm. Light southwesterly wind 10 km/h. Freezing levels are expected to begin to remain below 500 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Keep your guard up at lower elevations. Wind slab formation has been extensive.
  • Be especially cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.