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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 8th, 2024–Mar 9th, 2024

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Vancouver Island, East Island, North Island, South Island, West Island.

New snow and wind are creating dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain is not recommended during periods of heavy snow and strong wind.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Recent avalanche reports have been limited to small, loose dry avalanches in steep, shaded terrain.

Looking forward to Saturday, we expect that the potential for natural and human triggered avalanches will be likely to very likely.

Snowpack Summary

30 to 70 cm of new snow is expected by the end of the day on Saturday. Extreme southerly ridgetop winds will make for widely varied conditions in wind exposed terrain. The new snow is unlikely to bond well in areas where it overlies weak facets or surface hoar.

Below the new snow, 40 to 80 cm of loose snow sits over a crust that exists on all but high north aspects.

The mid and lower snowpack is generally settled and strong.

Below 1000m the upper snowpack may be moist or wet.

Weather Summary

Friday Night

Cloudy. Western parts of the Island expecting up to 65 cm, other areas expecting around 15 cm. 90 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline low around 0 °C. Freezing level around 1200m.

Saturday

Cloudy. Western parts of the Island expecting up to 40 cm, other areas expecting around 15 cm. 60 to 100 km/h southwesterly ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature around -1 °C. Freezing level around 1000m.

Sunday

Cloudy. 10 to 20 cm of snow expected. 60 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature around -1 °C. Freezing level around 1000m.

Monday

Cloudy. 10 to 20 cm of snow expected. 60 to 80 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline high around -2 °C. Freezing level around 1200m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
  • Avoid areas with overhead hazard.
  • Storm slab size and sensitivity to triggering will likely increase through the day.
  • Be careful to keep storm day fever from luring you out into bigger terrain features.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.