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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 6th, 2024–Mar 7th, 2024

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Vancouver Island, East Island, North Island, South Island, West Island.

Start on small slopes, and watch for signs of instability like shooting cracks or recent avalanches.

Assess large features on a slope by slope basis before committing.

Confidence

Low

Avalanche Summary

Recent avalanche reports are limited to small, loose dry avalanches in steep, shaded terrain.

On Sunday in the Mt. Cain backcountry, there were reports of whumpfs and a large avalanche around treeline.

If you are getting out in the backcountry, consider making a post on the MIN (Mountain Information Network)

Snowpack Summary

60 to 100+ cm of recent snow is faceting with cold temperatures, and getting softer from the surface down. This recent snow overlies a crust on all but high north aspects. At upper elevations, the recent snow has been redistributed by wind.

Below the crust, the snowpack is generally settled and strong.

Below treeline areas have now received enough snow to produce avalanches. Watch for "early season" type hazards such as shallowly buried stumps, rocks and creeks.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night

Mostly clear. No new snow expected. Light northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature around -6 °C. Freezing level dropping to 300 m.

Thursday

Clear morning, cloudy afternoon. Light snow above 600 m starting late afternoon. Light wind in the morning, moderate to strong southwest picking up in the afternoon. Treeline high around -3 °C.

Friday

Cloudy. Generally 5 to 15 cm of snow expected above 1000 m. Possibly less on the east island, and double to triple the amount on the west island. Extreme southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline high around 0 °C.

Saturday

Mostly cloudy. Strong southwest ridgetop wind. Light to heavy snowfall above 750 m. Possible drastic difference from west to east side of the island. 75 cm + to 10 cm. Moderate to strong southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature around 0 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for areas of hard wind slab on alpine features.
  • Be carefull around freshly wind loaded features.
  • Recent wind has varied in direction so watch for wind slabs on all aspects.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.