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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 22nd, 2021–Feb 24th, 2021

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.

Regions

Yukon.

Give the snow from the weekend some time to settle and bond. There is now a lot of snow available for the wind to distribute into exposed lee terrain. Be aware of wind slab development in the coming days.

Confidence

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to how quickly the snowpack will recover and gain strength.

Weather Forecast

MONDAY Night: Mainly cloudy with flurries, accumulation 1 to 3 cm, light to moderate west switching to northwest wind, alpine temperature -15 C.

TUESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud, light to moderate southwest wind, alpine temperature -13 C.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy with flurries, accumulation 5 cm, moderate to light south wind, alpine temperature -8 C.

THURSDAY: Cloudy with snowfall Wednesday night into Thursday, accumulation 5-10 cm, moderate to strong south wind, alpine temperature -9 C.

Avalanche Summary

We don't have any official reports of avalanche activity, but since the Highway to White Pass was closed on Monday due to avalanche activity, you can be assured that there was a widespread natural avalanche cycle on Sunday and Sunday night. This MIN report here outlines conditions with the snowfall at the end of the weekend. 

Snowpack Summary

30-50 cm of new snow falling Saturday night and Sunday will take some time to settle and bond to the old snow surface below. The snow is sitting on heavily wind affected and faceted surfaces in exposed terrain and perhaps a weak layer of surface hoar in sheltered areas, as found here and here. The wind has likely already started to redistribute this new snow into lee terrain.

The lower snowpack is strong around White Pass, but inland areas like the Wheaton Valley likely have a thinner and weaker structure.

Terrain and Travel

  • Closely monitor how the new snow is bonding to the old surface.
  • Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
  • Storm snow and wind is forming touchy slabs. Use caution in lee areas in the alpine and treeline.
  • Be aware of the potential for larger than expected storm slabs due to the presence of buried surface hoar.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.