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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 27th, 2015–Mar 28th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

We are into "spring conditions" at this time.  Stability will decrease throughout the day as temperatures rise.  Decreases in stability will be most apparent on solar aspects especially in thin rocky terrain.  Watch for good overnight freezes. 

Confidence

Fair - Freezing levels are uncertain on Saturday

Weather Forecast

A mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries.Precipitation: Trace.Alpine temperature: High 1 °C.Ridge wind west: 30 km/h gusting to 55 km/h.Freezing level: 2300 metres.

Avalanche Summary

Loose wet avalanches were observed on solar aspects and at lower elevations up to sz 1.

Snowpack Summary

Freezing levels climbed up to 2600m on Friday and as a result, the snowpack is isothermal at lower elevations.  We are now entering a true spring snowpack state. In the morning when temperatures are cooler, the snowpack is stable.  Then as the day progresses and warms up and freezing levels rise, the snowpack will become less stable. Isolated pockets of windslabs may be found on true north aspects at higher elevations and this will continue to remain a concern for skiers.  Now is the time to be looking for corn snow skiing... 

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.