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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 22nd, 2014–Dec 23rd, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

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Avoid steep previous lee slopes with firmer wind transported snow from the recent storm mainly in the above treeline band Tuesday.

Detailed Forecast

Some light showers may move to the higher elevations east of the crest on Tuesday. This is not likely to create significant new layers by Tuesday afternoon. Note that a more significant increase in winds and rain or snow is expected in the northwest Cascades Tuesday afternoon.

Watch for wind slab from the previous storm that will be most likely to linger on steep north to southeast slopes in the above treeline band.

Increasing winds and increasing rain or snow will likely begin to create new layers Tuesday night.

Snowpack Discussion

A strong warm storm moved over the Northwest Saturday and Sunday. Winds were seen to over 100 mph at some locations. Precipitation was generally heavy or very heavy near and west of the crest and moderate to heavy east of the crest. Precipitation fell as snow mainly in the above treeline zone in most areas but may have fallen lower in this area Saturday and Sunday.

Our pro observers in this area report that natural storm slab avalanches occurred on lee slopes below ridges such as at Mt Cashmere Saturday and Sunday. Denser new wind slab was seen near Washington Pass.

Decreasing winds and a little cooling were seen at the tail end of the storm Sunday night and Monday with a little snow making it down to  the near or below treeline. No avalanches have been reported so far Monday and conditions should have somewhat stabilized.

Lingering wind slab and storm slab are likely mainly in the above treeline zone on Monday. A persistent weak layer will not be indicated for the early December crust layer unless it shows signs of activity in the future.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.