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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 27th, 2012–Feb 28th, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Don't let the sunny skies lure you into more serious terrain. Surface hoar now buried 40 to 80cm remains highly reactive and caused cracking, whumpfing and remote triggered avalanches today. This problem will persist for some time. Be conservative.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Ridge of high pressure to dominate again on Tuesday with sunny skies. Winds moderate SW.

Avalanche Summary

Evidence of widespread Na and Nc cycle in past 12 to 48 hours up to size 2.5 on all asp and all elevations, with one size 3.0 observed on SE asp in ALP. All slides appeared to fail on 120213 SH or SC. Observed two Na on Commonwealth ridge, E asp, size 2.0 with tracks visible in on of the slides. Sev Sr(20m) in Burstall Pass from moderate terrain failing down 50 to 70cm on SH. One size 1.0 solar triggered slide, SW asp, 1700m on Mt Rundle.

Snowpack Summary

Average of 5cm Hn at TL. Extensive wind affect in ALP with large cornice growth and isolated wind affect at TL. Widespread whumpfing, cracking and Sr in moderate terrain at TL. Profile at 2300m, Hs = 200cm, CTM(12)(SC) down 50cm on 120213 SH, P density midpack overlies P- density basal FC/DH. Isolated solar affect os steep SW asp BTL only.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.