Avalanche forecast

Jasper

Dec 31, 2015 – Jan 1, 2016Parks Canada
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Archived · expired 11 years ago

Avalanche danger

Thu
Fri
Alpine
1 · Low
Treeline
1 · Low
Below
1 · Low
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Highlights

Meow is the time for getting high and traveling in the Alpine. The pronounced temp inversion can be especially problematic for ice climbing. High, steep, solar affected overhead features could release without warning.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely - Possible
    Size
    1–2
    Wind slabs can be expected to be most developed in the alpine and open tree-line ridge tops.

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely - Possible
    Size
    1–2
    The facetting process is weakening the mid-pack from the top down and bottom up. This situation would make it possible to trigger the weakness at the base of the snowpack as the support underfoot shrinks. Watch for this in shallower areas.

Weather Forecast

High pressure and connected ridge is here and will stay put for the foreseeable future. Winds are forecasted to be light to moderate from the north. This is setting up a weak temp inversion which is expected to become more pronounced as the year comes to an end. High S aspects will be glorious riding and north aspects will stay nice, dry and cool.

Snowpack Summary

Variable and frustrating wind slabs in open or exposed terrain wreaking havoc with the riding conditions. The snowpack continues to facet with recent cold temperatures losing some overall depth as it drys and settles. The mid-pack is slowly weakening from the cold but thus far is still bridging the facetted base weakness in deeper areas.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches reported or observed.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Friday

Regions covered