Dashboard Regions Weather Stations Radar Alerts Glossary
Contact About
Log In

Register for an account and never miss a forecast again!

Register

Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 3rd, 2013–Mar 4th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kootenay Boundary.

Avalanche danger will likely increase when the sun comes out. Be aware of your overhead hazards.

Confidence

Fair - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain

Weather Forecast

The pattern turns cooler, with some sunny skies under the ridge for the next two days. The next low pressure system will begin to effect the region on Tuesday, bringing cloud cover and new snow.Monday: The ridge will move over all regions and dominate the weather pattern. Lingering cloud until mid-day with sunny skies in the afternoon. Ridgetop winds light from the South. Alpine temperatures near -4 and freezing levels around 1300 m in the afternoon. Tuesday: The low will bring a milder southerly flow over the region and push a weak and poorly timed upper wave across the Kootenay, Columbias and South Rockies. Alpine temperatures -3 and freezing levels 1100 m. Ridgetop winds light from the SW. Wednesday: Moderate snow amounts with ridgetop winds light from the East. Alpine temperatures near -5 and freezing levels 1500 m falling to valley bottom overnight.

Avalanche Summary

Numerous natural slab avalanches were reported on Saturday. These occurred mainly on N-E aspects, above 2200 m and ranging from size 1.5-2.5, failing within the recent storm snow, and suspect of failing on older surface hoar layers buried down 50-60 cm. Explosive control initiated numerous size 1.5-2.5 slab avalanches on SE-SW aspects above 1600m. No new observations reported on Sunday.

Snowpack Summary

In much of the region, up to 80 cm recent snow overlies weak interfaces comprising of surface hoar and sun crusts that developed mid-February. The storm slab above these interfaces has the potential for wide propagations and surprisingly large avalanches, especially where winds have shifted the snow into slabs in the lee of terrain breaks. A thin freezing rain/rime crust formed last Friday, which is now buried by about 20-40cm snow. I'm uncertain of its distribution and reactivity, but am hesitant to disregard it until with get through this stormy period.In the Rossland Range, surface hoar which was buried mid-week is 20-35 cm down and exhibits easy, sudden results in snowpack tests. As more snow builds over this layer, it could become touchy.The lower snowpack is generally well settled, and average treeline snow depths sit near 250 cm.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.