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Avalanche Forecast

Jan 30th, 2023–Jan 31st, 2023
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold

Take a conservative approach to avalanche terrain, while uncertainty exists with buried weak layers in the alpine. A number of surprising, large avalanches occurred over the weekend.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

A couple of large (size 2-3) persistent slab, human-triggered avalanches have been reported over the weekend. Avalanches have occurred near ridgetops in north-to-northeast alpine terrain. Both avalanches have shown an impressive capability of propagating large distances. Here is a link to the most recent human-triggered size 3 avalanche.

Significant uncertainty remains about the distribution and extent of the problem.

If you are out in the backcountry please consider filling out a Mountain Information Network report.

Snowpack Summary

In alpine terrain, recent winds have created a variety of wind-affected surfaces. New snow and wind will create thin wind slabs in exposed terrain features.

Persistent weak layers of surface hoar and/or facets continue to persist in northerly terrain near ridgetops, creating a number of recent, scary human-triggered avalanches.

Below roughly 1700 m a widespread, supportive, melt-freeze crust is present, with moist snow below.

Weather Summary

Monday night

Cloudy with light snow, 2 to 5 cm. Treeline temperatures -5 to -10 C. Moderate southwest alpine winds.

Tuesday

Cloudy, with flurries, 0 to 2 cm. Treeline temperatures -5 to -10 C. Light alpine winds, shifting from southwest to northeast.

Wednesday

Cloudy, no precipitation. Treeline temperature -15 to -20 C. Moderate northeast alpine winds.

Thursday

Cloudy, no precipitation. Treeline temperature -15 to -20 C. Moderate alpine winds.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • In times of uncertainty conservative terrain choices are our best defense.
  • Potential for wide propagation exists, fresh slabs may rest on surface hoar, facets and/or crust.
  • Make observations and assess conditions continually as you travel.

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

Buried weak layers continue to produce large, surprising avalanches in alpine terrain. Although uncertainty remains around the extent and distribution of this layer remain, the recent avalanche activity has been observed on steep, north to northeast terrain. Keep in the mind the potential for remotely triggered avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1.5 - 3