Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 14th, 2019 3:24PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Loose Wet and Cornices.

dsaly, Avalanche Canada

South Coast.

The mid-winter summer break continues. A warm snowpack can weaken quickly, use caution around cornices and steep slopes until temperatures drop.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - Freezing levels are uncertain

Weather Forecast

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Freezing level dropping below 500 m. Alpine high low near +5. Light winds.TUESDAY: Sunny and warm. Freezing level near 2200 m. Alpine high near +4. Light winds.WEDNESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud. Freezing level near 1500 m. Alpine high near +5. Light to moderate east-southeast winds.THURSDAY: Rain, 25 mm. Freezing level 1700 m. Alpine high near +6. Moderate east wind gusting strong.More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Avalanche Summary

On Friday, loose wet avalanches released naturally below 1200 m. Skiers were able to trigger loose wet avalanches which ran on an ice layer down 15-20 cm. Size 2 wet slabs were also observed in the Sky Pilot area. These are thought to have occurred on Thursday or Friday. We appreciate any observations shared on the Mountain Information Network here.

Snowpack Summary

Warm temperatures have created moist surface snow, which has refrozen into crusts at low elevations and on sunny aspects. In the north of the region, you may find wind-affected snow or dry snow (on shady aspects) at upper elevations. Lingering cornices may fail with warming. A solid surface crust exists below about 1700 m.

Problems

Loose Wet

Sun and warmth can lead to loose wet and wet slab avalanche conditions. Look for clues like sticky snow, rollerballing or recent avalanche activity to indicate that the snowpack is losing cohesion.

Watch for terrain traps where small amounts of snow will acumulate into deep deposits.Minimize exposure to steep slopes on warm or sunny days.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1.5 - 2

Cornices

Cornices can weaken quickly with warming, and can act as triggers for avalanches on the slope below.

Give cornices a wide berth when travelling on or below ridges.Cornices become weak with daytime heating, so travel early on exposed slopes.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 2

Valid until: Jan 15th, 2019 2:00PM